Friday, 3 January 2014

SP500 1832 weak start in 2014 - Down 0.9%

SP500 opened 2014 down 0.9% which is the weakest since 2008, not a good omen.  I am looking for the SP500 to trade in the range 1650-2050 with strength shown into Q2 2014 before a pullback in the 2nd half of the year.

Intermediate term, I am looking for a test of the 50ema(1791) in Q1 2014

Long term a test of 200ema(1681) would not be surprising in June, the weakest month of the year.

Bears will need to see a weekly close below 1775

Bulls will look for the 50ema (1791) to hold and a move up to 1900 in Q1 2014


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