Saturday, 31 August 2013

Germany and China join Weekly Sell

STOCK MARKETS
Germany joined the rest of the West and triggered a Weekly Sell signal.  China close below 21900 again and triggered a Weekly Sell signal. UK and USA triggered Daily Sell signals again on Tuesday 27 August. India and Japan remain on weekly Sell.

Look for SP500 to trade 1610-1660 and FTSE 6350-6550 in the first week of September.

Long term I'm looking to Buy the FTSE in 5800-6000 region. Bear market trigger is Weekly close below 5800. Bull market would be another close above 6500 with a target 7200 by March 2014.

GOLD
Gold looks like it has hit resistance between $1425-$1450. I am looking for a pullback to $1300-$1350 over the next 2 weeks. It took Gold 6 months from Nov 2010 to April 2011 to break above $1450. 

OIL
Watching West Texas Oil  make a pull back to $105 before a move up to test the $115 high last seen April/May 2011.  A weekly close above $115 would trigger a move up to the 2008 high near $150 and send the World into another recession in 2014. Syria military strike by the USA in September may be the trigger. 

Sector
High

Low
Weekly Price When 50ema
 UK FTSE 65026393 Sell 6550 16 Aug 6474
USA SP500 1669 1627 Sell 1685 16 Aug 1660
DAX 8475 8095 Sell 8246 30 Aug 8208
China HSI 22116 21538 Sell 21900 30 Aug 21453
India BSE 18728 17448 Sell 19750 02 Aug 19152
Japan NIK 13772 13188 Sell 14500 26 July 13919
AORD 5148 5055 Buy 5075 16 Aug 4976
GOLD 1434 1388 Buy 1267 12 July 1312
Oil 112.2 105.6 Buy 106 16 Aug 104.2

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